Use of technical analysis indicators in stock and foreign exchange markets trend forecasting

V diplomski nalogi ugotavljamo uporabnost indikatorjev tehnične analiz pri napovedi trendov na borznih in deviznih trgih, v zadnjem delu diplomske naloge ugotavljamo tudi uporabnost in pomen kombiniranja različnih indikatorjev tehnične analize. Vključili smo tudi pomen in uporabnost poznavanja tržnih struktur in njihovo kombiniranje z indikatorji tehnične analize. Investitorji na borznih in deviznih trgih si prizadevajo razumeti, katere indikatorje in katere tržne strategije v okviru posameznega indikatorja uporabiti z namenom obvladovanja prisotnih tveganj pri trgovanju na teh trgih in tudi za maksimiranje dobičkov. V diplomski nalogi so s teoretičnega in praktičnega vidika predstavljeni izbrani indikatorji tehnične analize, tržni trendi in strukture ter pomen in uporabnost kombiniranja različnih indikatorjev ter tržnih struktur. V diplomski nalogi smo ugotovili, da ima pri napovedih trenda na borznih in deviznih trgih veliko vlogo vsebinsko razumevanje posameznega indikatorja tehnične analize, branje grafikonov z vključenimi indikatorji in identificiranje signalov pri odločanju o trgovanju, pri določevanju vstopnih in izstopnih točk ter pri določanju kratkoročnih in dolgoročnih trendov. Iz praktičnim primerov, vključenih v diplomski nalogi se je ugotovilo, katere indikatorje je potrebno uporabiti za različne tržne strategije in katere kombinacije indikatorjev je smiselno uporabit za pridobitev dodatnih potrditev pravilnosti načrtovane strategije investiranja.In the diploma thesis, we determine the usefulness of technical analysis indicators in forecasting trends on the stock and foreign exchange markets, in the last part of the thesis we also determine the usefulness and importance of combining different indicators of technical analysis. We have also included the importance and usefulness of knowing market structures and combining them with technical analysis indicators. Investors in the stock and foreign exchange markets are increasingly striving to understand which indicator and which market strategies they use within the framework of each indicator in order to manage the risks present when trading in these markets and also to maximize profits. Selected technical analysis indicators, market trends and structures, as well as the importance and usefulness of combining different indicators and market structures are presented in the thesis from a theoretical and practical point of view. In the diploma thesis, we found that in forecasting trends on the stock market and foreign exchange markets, a substantial role is played in the substantive understanding of individual indicators of technical analysis, reading charts with included indicators and identifying signals when making decisions about trading, when determining entry and exit points, and when determining short-term and long-term markets. trends. From the practical examples included in the diploma theses, it was determined which indicators should be used for different market strategies and which combinations of indicators make sense to use to obtain additional strategies to confirm the correctness of investment planning