Condition Monitoring and Failure prognostic of Wind Turbine Blades

Condition Monitoring (CM) has become an essential tool in complex engineering systems like wind turbines. They can prevent unexpected failures and contribute to a more reliable system. Information attained from monitoring can be employed for maintenance scheduling, hence, minimizing maintenance costs. Remaining Useful Life (RUL) is a critical aspect of CM. This paper introduces a new RUL prediction method for wind turbine blades using a novel fuzzy-based failure dynamic modeling via a Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system. For this goal, a recursive Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is employed to compress the SCADA data and extract real-time Principal Components (PCs). Next, a wavelet-based Probability Density Function (PDF) is applied to obtain the probability of staying healthy from the extracted PCs. It is anticipated that blade degradation will lead to a subsequent decline in the PDF curve. A failure trajectory is then captured by transforming the PDF into the PC\u27s surface. Subsequently, the T-S fuzzy system is utilized to form the mathematical model of degradation from this failure trajectory. Next, a Bayesian algorithm is adaptively administered to predict the RUL. Experimental test results on Canadian wind farms explain a high performance of the proposed failure prognosis method in comparison with a Bayesian algorithm