ARD-DeutschlandTrend 2022

Since 1997, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND has been conducted by Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung mbH on behalf of the Association of Public Broadcasting Corporations in the Federal Republic of Germany (ARD) and various print media. From 2021, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND will be surveyed on behalf of ARD-Tagesthemen and the daily newspaper DIE WELT. Up to and including February 2021, the monthly surveys were conducted in telephone interviews (CATI) with approx. 1000 respondents (for party preference approx. 1500) per wave. Starting in March 2021, both telephone interviews (CATI) and online interviews (CAWI) were conducted with approximately 1300 respondents per wave. The attitudes and assessments of the voting population regarding parties, politicians and current political issues were recorded. Respondents for the telephone interviews were selected using a multistage random sample from the ADM selection framework for telephone sampling, including landline and mobile phone numbers (dual-frame sampling). Respondents for the online interviews were selected using a stratified random sample from an online access panel. Some questions are repeated at each survey time and asked in an identical manner, while other topics are only surveyed in one or more survey months. The ARD-DeutschlandTREND is available as an annual cumulation for the years starting in 1998.Party preference in the next federal election (Sunday poll); satisfaction with selected top politicians (Annalena Baerbock, Amira Mohamed Ali, Alice Weidel, Christine Lambrecht, Christian Lindner, Cem Özdemir, Dietmar Bartsch, Friedrich Merz, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Hubertus Heil, Janine Wissler, Karl Lauterbach, Marco Buschmann, Nancy Faeser, Olaf Scholz, Robert Habeck, Tino Chrupalla, Volker Wissing, Lars Klingbeil, Steffi Lemke); party competence: most competent party for solving selected political tasks (reliable foreign policy, ensuring social justice, good health policy, good tax policy, good environmental policy, advancing the economy in Germany); views on the conflict between Ukraine and Russia (I don´t think sanctions by the West will change anything in Russia´s policy, I can understand that Russia feels threatened by the West, NATO is important to secure peace in Europe, I would find it right if the U.S. and the EU would further tighten sanctions against Russia, in the long term Ukraine should be admitted to the EU, European states should take a stronger role in mediating the Ukraine conflict); Corona: Advocate for a general vaccination obligation against the Corona virus for all adults over 18 years in Germany, only for adults over 50 years or in principle against a vaccination obligation; evaluation of current Corona measures in Germany (appropriate, go too far, against not far enough); willingness to voluntarily wear the mouth-nose covering after the end of the mask requirement; concerns in connection with the Corona pandemic (not adequate medical care for all those who fall ill, infection with the Corona virus, new variants of the Corona virus); democracy in general a good form of government; satisfaction with democracy; acceptance of climate action (not going to school as a student but demonstrating, temporarily blocking roads and traffic, temporarily occupying factories, industrial plants, or offices); assessment of the need for action on climate protection; support for measures against Russia despite rising energy prices and cost of living, bottlenecks in energy supply and disadvantages for German companies and businesses; assessment of various measures in the Ukraine conflict as right or wrong (new economic sanctions against Russia, arms deliveries from Germany to Ukraine, NATO´s offer of security guarantees to Russia, transfer of additional Federal Armed Forces units to Eastern European NATO countries); retrospective assessment of the awarding of the Winter Olympics to China; Germany should continue to adhere to the NordStream 2 project vs. not to continue; perceived threat to us in Germany from the political situation in the world; extent of concerns about too many immigrants to Germany, climate change destroys our livelihoods, significant increase in Corona infections in Germany in the coming weeks, prices rise so much that bills can no longer be paid, Russia attacks more countries in Europe; countries as trustworthy partners of Germany (China, France, Poland, Russia, Ukraine, UK, USA); opinion on military support of Ukraine: Germany should be cautious not to provoke Russia vs. German government should act as decisively as possible and show toughness toward Russia; appropriateness of various responses to Russian invasion of Ukraine (Germany´s support of Ukraine with weapons, sanctions measures against Russia, diplomatic efforts to end the war); appropriateness so far of German government´s response to Russian invasion of Ukraine; extent of concerns about Russian attack on Ukraine (for people in Ukraine, that economic situation in Germany will deteriorate, that there will be a major war in Europe, that there will be cuts in gas and energy supply in Germany); conditions in Germany currently giving more cause for confidence or concern; assessment of current economic situation in Germany; assessment of current personal economic situation and expected personal economic situation in one year; soccer World Cup in Qatar: Expected winner of the 2002 World Cup in Qatar; most important political problems in Germany; most important and second most important problem; satisfaction with the individual parties involved in the federal government, SPD, Greens and FDP; satisfaction with the work of the federal government in various policy areas (securing energy supplies in Germany, easing the burden on citizens because of rising prices, course of the federal government in the Ukraine war); satisfaction with the work of the federal government in general; Corona: Evaluation of shortening isolation and quarantine periods for infected persons and contacts; concern in connection with the Corona pandemic that once again social life will be shut down; concern about bottlenecks in gas supply in Germany due to the Ukraine conflict; interest in the Winter Olympics in Beijing; personal view of the Olympics compared to previous years; reasons for criticism of the staging of the Winter Olympics in China (because of political conditions, because of environmental interference in the construction of sports facilities, because of the Corona rules there, fundamental rejection of major international sports events); evaluation of various measures following the Russian attack on Ukraine (exclusion of important Russian banks from international payment transactions SWIFT, taking out a loan of 100 billion euros to acquire modern weapons for the German armed forces, halting the approval process for the Russian NordStream 2 natural gas pipeline; assessment of the German government´s decision to increase annual defense spending to at least 2 percent of gross domestic product; change in personal attitude toward higher defense spending by Germany as a result of the Russian attack on Ukraine; extent of concerns about the invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops; views on the conflict between Ukraine and Russia (the German government has hesitated for too long to provide military support to Ukraine, Germany has been too lenient toward Vladimir Putin in recent years); view on the acceptance of refugees from Ukraine in Germany; assessment of various measures taken by Germany in connection with the Ukraine war (cancellation of the planned nuclear phase-out at the end of the year and continued operation of nuclear power plants in Germany, increased import of oil and gas from Qatar and Saudi Arabia to Germany, import of so-called fracking gas from the U.S. to Germany, introduction of a temporary speed limit on German highways, faster and stronger expansion of renewable energies in Germany); support for an energy boycott of Russia despite energy supply shortages and rising energy prices; personal responses to inflation (reduced consumption for heating and electricity, used car less often because of high gasoline and diesel prices, generally bought less because of higher prices); Corona: Evaluation of the removal of federal Corona restrictions; evaluation of the removal of mandatory isolation for Corona-infected persons; politician satisfaction: Satisfaction with the political work of Agnes Strack-Zimmermann; qualities of Chancellor Olaf Scholz (acts prudently, communicates convincingly, is up to the office of chancellor, can lead the country well through a crisis, convinced with his course in the Ukraine war); Germany´s reaction to the Ukraine war: Adequate financial support of Ukraine by Germany, adequate reception and support of Ukrainian refugees in Germany; opinion on energy embargo (immediate stop of Russian gas and oil imports, gradual end of imports or basically stick to imports); Germany should supply heavy weapons to Ukraine; personal restrictions due to price increases; assessment of measures taken by the German government against inflation (nationwide use of local and regional transportation for 9 euros per month from June to August, one-time energy price lump sum of 300 euros as a subsidy for employed persons, reduction of energy tax on fuels from June to August; public transport: satisfaction with public transport in Germany in terms of prices, reliability of timetables and connection to place of residence; intention to use the 9-Euro-Ticket; probably less frequent car use after purchase of the 9-Euro-Ticket; satisfaction with the work of the German government in various policy areas (budgetary and financial policy, measures to protect against Corona, measures to protect the climate); politician satisfaction: satisfaction with the political work of A22G02? ); opinion on the extension of the 9-euro ticket and the extension of the fuel discount; importance of climate protection in view of the current crises and challenges; willingness to support various measures in the event of a sharp rise in Corona infection figures in the fall (compulsory wearing of masks indoors, general compulsory testing as an access restriction to public events, facilities, leisure and cultural activities, temporary school closures, compulsory vaccination for particularly vulnerable groups); inflation: further relief measures for all vs. only low-income citizens; preferences with regard to financing these reliefs (higher debt vs. tax increases) ; independence from Russian energy after the attack on Ukraine as the right goal; assessment of various energy security measures after the Russian attack on Ukraine (promotion of fracking gas in Germany, faster expansion of wind energy, increased use of coal-fired power plants, temporary speed limit on highways, additional tax for companies of exceptionally high profits); opinion on further use of nuclear energy in Germany (shut down nuclear power plants at the end of the year, stretch operation by a few months, use nuclear energy also in the long term); Corona: Isolation obligation should be lifted; party competence: most competent party to solve selected political tasks (take right measures against rising prices, secure energy supply); preferred target groups of relief in view of rising cost of living and energy prices (only for low-income households, also for middle-income households or all households); acceptance of relief measures (electricity and gas price cap for basic needs, increase in housing benefit for low-income earners as well as an expansion of those entitled to receive it, increase and expansion of the so-called commuter allowance, direct payments for people with small and medium incomes, families, pensioners, students, trainees and recipients of unemployment benefits, introduction of a successor offer for the 9-euro ticket); maximum accepted price of a successor ticket for the 9-euro ticket or would generally be out of the question; expected economic situation in Germany in one year; satisfaction with the work of the federal government in relieving the economy due to high energy prices; greatest threats to democracy in Germany; concerns that Germany could be drawn directly into the Ukraine war and about job losses; opinion on accepting Russian conscientious objectors in Germany; opinion on the extent of Germany´s economic cooperation with China (continue to the current extent, expand, reduce); assessment of a Chinese state-owned company´s involvement in the Hamburg container terminal; threat to world security posed by China; foreign policy orientation (independent German foreign policy vs. coordinated German foreign policy with EU partners); agreement with statements on German foreign policy (the German government should ensure that Germany becomes economically more independent of non-democratic countries; in the scope with China, the representation of Germany´s economic interests is more important than the commitment to human rights on the ground, confidence in Olaf Scholz to strengthen cooperation in the EU); greater problem-solving competence of a CDU/CSU-led federal government compared to current federal government; retrospective evaluation of Angela Merkel´s chancellorship; changed image due to the course of the soccer World Cup in Qatar so far with regard to the host country Qatar, the world soccer association FIFA, the German Soccer Association DFB; athletes should express their political viewpoint vs. hold back on making political statements about the host country; positioning of the DFB and the German national team at the World Cup towards Qatar is appropriate; view on an energy partnership between Germany and Qatar; acceptance of climate protection actions (exhibitions and cultural events disrupt and affect); plans for easier naturalization in Germany go in the right direction. Demography: sex; age; employment; employment status; highest level of schooling; household net income. Additionally coded: record or pagination number; wave identifier; region (east/west); federal state; official county code; weighting factor.Seit 1997 wird der ARD-DeutschlandTREND im Auftrag der Arbeitsgemeinschaft der öffentlich-rechtlichen Rundfunkanstalten der Bundesrepublik Deutschland (ARD) sowie diverser Printmedien von Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung mbH erhoben. Ab 2021 wird der ARD-DeutschlandTREND im Auftrag der ARD-Tagesthemen und der Tageszeitung DIE WELT erhoben. Die monatlich durchgeführten Erhebungen erfolgten bis einschließlich Februar 2021 in telefonischen Interviews (CATI) mit ca. 1000 Befragten (für die Parteipräferenz ca. 1500) pro Welle. Ab März 2021 wurden sowohl telefonische Interviews (CATI) als auch Onlineinterviews (CAWI) mit ca. 1300 Befragten pro Welle durchgeführt. Erfasst wurden die Einstellungen und Beurteilungen der wahlberechtigten Bevölkerung zu Parteien, Politikern und aktuellen politischen Themen. Die Auswahl der Befragten für die Telefoninterviews erfolgte durch eine mehrstufige Zufallsstichprobe aus dem ADM-Auswahlrahmen für Telefonstichproben unter Einschluss von Festnetz- und Mobilfunknummern (Dual-Frame Stichprobe). Die Auswahl der Befragten für die Online-Interviews erfolgte durch eine geschichtete Zufallsstichprobe aus einem Online-Access-Panel. Einige Fragen werden zu jedem Erhebungszeitpunkt wiederholt und in identischer Weise gefragt, andere Themen werden nur in einem oder in mehreren Befragungsmonaten erhoben. Der ARD-DeutschlandTREND ist als Jahreskumulation für die Jahre ab 1998 verfügbar.Parteipräferenz bei der nächsten Bundestagswahl (Sonntagsfrage); Zufriedenheit mit ausgewählten Spitzenpolitikern (Annalena Baerbock, Amira Mohamed Ali, Alice Weidel, Christine Lambrecht, Christian Lindner, Cem Özdemir, Dietmar Bartsch, Friedrich Merz, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Hubertus Heil, Janine Wissler, Karl Lauterbach, Marco Buschmann, Nancy Faeser, Olaf Scholz, Robert Habeck, Tino Chrupalla, Volker Wissing, Lars Klingbeil, Steffi Lemke); Parteikompetenz: kompetenteste Partei zur Lösung ausgewählter politischer Aufgaben (verlässliche Außenpolitik, für soziale Gerechtigkeit sorgen, gute Gesundheitspolitik, gute Steuerpolitik, gute Umweltpolitik, die Wirtschaft in Deutschland voranbringen); Ansichten zum Konflikt zwischen der Ukraine und Russland (Ich glaube nicht, dass Sanktionen des Westens an der Politik Russlands etwas ändern werden, ich kann nachvollziehen, dass sich Russland vom Westen bedroht sieht, die NATO ist wichtig, um den Frieden in Europa zu sichern, ich fände es richtig, wenn die USA und die EU die Sanktionen gegenüber Russland weiter verschärfen würden, langfristig sollte die Ukraine in die EU aufgenommen werden, Europäische Staaten sollten bei der Vermittlung im Ukraine-Konflikt eine stärkere Rolle einnehmen); Corona: Befürwortung einer allgemeinen Impfpflicht gegen das Corona-Virus für alle Erwachsenen ab 18 Jahren in Deutschland, nur für Erwachsene ab 50 Jahren oder grundsätzlich gegen eine Impfpflicht; Bewertung der geltenden Corona-Maßnahmen in Deutschland (angemessen, gehen zu weit, gegen nicht weit genug); Bereitschaft zum freiwilligen Tragen der Mund-Nasen-Bedeckung nach Ende der Maskenpflicht; Sorgen im Zusammenhang mit der Corona-Pandemie (nicht für alle Erkrankten eine angemessene medizinische Versorgung, Infektion mit dem Corona-Virus, neue Varianten des Corona-Virus); Demokratie allgemein eine gute Regierungsform; Demokratiezufriedenheit; Akzeptanz von Klimaschutzaktionen (als Schüler nicht zur Schule gehen, sondern demonstrieren, Straßen und Verkehr zeitweise blockieren, Fabriken, Industrieanlagen oder Ämter vorübergehend besetzen); Einschätzung des Handlungsbedarfs beim Kilmaschutz; Unterstützung von Maßnahmen gegen Russland trotz steigender Energiepreise und Lebenshaltungskosten, Engpässen in er Energieversorgung und Nachteilen für deutsche Firmen und Betriebe; Bewertung verschiedener Maßnahmen im Ukraine-Konflikt als richtig oder falsch (neue wirtschaftliche Sanktionen gegen Russland, Waffenlieferungen von Deutschland an die Ukraine, Angebot von Sicherheitsgarantien an Russland durch die NATO, Verlegung zusätzlicher Bundeswehr-Einheiten in osteuropäische NATO-Staaten); retrospektive Bewertung der Vergabe der Olympischen Winterspiele an China; Deutschland sollte weiter am Projekt NordStream 2 festhalten vs. nicht weiter festhalten; empfundene Bedrohung für uns in Deutschland durch die politische Lage in der Welt; Ausmaß der Sorgen wegen zu vieler Einwanderer nach Deutschland, Klimawandel zerstört unsere Lebensgrundlagen, deutlicher Anstieg der Corona-Infektionen in Deutschland in den kommenden Wochen, so starker Preisanstieg, dass Rechnungen nicht mehr bezahlt werden können, Russland greift weitere Länder in Europa an; Länder als vertrauenswürdige Partner Deutschlands (China, Frankreich, Polen, Russland, Ukraine, Großbritannien, USA); Meinung zur militärischen Unterstützung der Ukraine: Deutschland sollte zurückhaltend sein, um Russland nicht zu provozieren vs. die Bundesregierung sollte möglichst entschlossen agieren und Härte gegenüber Russland zeigen; Angemessenheit von verschiedener Reaktionen auf den russischen Einmarsch in die Ukraine (Unterstützung der Ukraine mit Waffen durch Deutschland, Sanktions-Maßnahmen gegen Russland, diplomatische Bemühungen zur Beendigung des Krieges); angemessene bisherige Reaktion der Bundesregierung auf den russischen Einmarsch in die Ukraine; Ausmaß der Sorgen wegen des russischen Angriffs auf die Ukraine (um die Menschen in der Ukraine, dass sich die wirtschaftliche Lage in Deutschland verschlechtert, dass es zu einem großen Krieg in Europa kommt, dass es in Deutschland zu Einschnitten in der Gas- und Energieversorgung kommt); Verhältnisse in Deutschland geben derzeit eher Anlass zur Zuversicht oder zur Beunruhigung; Beurteilung der derzeitigen wirtschaftlichen Lage in Deutschland; Beurteilung der aktuellen persönlichen wirtschaftlichen Situation und erwartete persönliche wirtschaftliche Situation in einem Jahr; Fußball-WM in Katar: erwarteter Gewinner der Fußball-Weltmeisterschaft 2002 in Katar; wichtigste politische Probleme in Deutschland; wichtigstes und zweitwichtigstes Problem; Zufriedenheit mit den einzelnen an der Bundesregierung beteiligten Parteien SPD, Grüne und FDP; Zufriedenheit mit der Arbeit der Bundesregierung in verschiedenen Politikfeldern (Sicherung der Energieversorgung in Deutschland, Entlastung der Bürger wegen der steigenden Preise, Kurs der Bundesregierung im Ukraine-Krieg); Zufriedenheit mit der Arbeit der Bundesregierung allgemein; Corona: Bewertung der Verkürzung von Isolations- und Quarantänezeiten für Infizierte und Kontaktpersonen; Sorge im Zusammenhang mit der Corona-Pandemie, dass noch einmal das gesellschaftliche Leben heruntergefahren wird; Sorge vor Engpässen in der Gasversorgung in Deutschland wegen des Ukraine-Konflikts; Interesse an den Olympischen Winterspielen in Peking; persönliche Sicht auf die Olympischen Spiele im Vergleich zu früheren Jahren; Gründe für Kritik an der Austragung der Olympischen Winterspiele in China (wegen der politischen Verhältnisse, wegen der Umwelteingriffe beim Bau von Sportstätten, wegen der dortigen Corona-Regeln, grundsätzliche Ablehnung internationaler Sportgroßveranstaltungen); Bewertung verschiedener Maßnahmen nach dem russischem Angriff auf die Ukraine (Ausschluss wichtiger russischer Banken vom internationalen Zahlungsverkehr SWIFT, Aufnahme eines Kredits von 100 Milliarden Euro zur Anschaffung moderner Waffen für die Bundeswehr, Stopp des Genehmigungsverfahrens für die russische Erdgaspipeline NordStream 2; Bewertung der Entscheidung der Bundesregierung zur Anhebung der jährlichen Verteidigungsausgaben auf mindestens 2 Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts; veränder