Is the modern-day dieback of yellow-cedar unprecedented?

In Southeast Alaska, many stands of yellow-cedar (Callitropsis nootkatensis D. Don; Oerst. ex D.P. Little; hereafter: ‘YC’) contain numerous standing, dead snags. Snag-age estimates based on morphology have been used to support the interpretation that a warming climate after ca. 1880 triggered unprecedented YC dieback. Here we present new estimates of YC snag longevity by cross-dating 61 snags with morphologies that suggest they stood dead for extended periods. All but four of these snags have lost their outermost rings to decay, so we estimate when they died using a new method based on wood-ablation rates measured in six living trees that display partial cambial dieback. Results indicate that ~59% of YC snags that lost their branches to decay (Class 5 snags) have remained standing for > 200 years, and some for as long as 450 years (snag longevity mean SD: 233 92 years). These findings, along with supporting evidence from historical photos, dendrochronology, and snag-morphology surveys in the published literature suggest that episodes of YC dieback also occurred before 1880 and before significant anthropogenic warming began. The roles played by climate change in these earlier dieback events remain to be further explored.The accepted manuscript in pdf format is listed with the files at the bottom of this page. The presentation of the authors' names and (or) special characters in the title of the manuscript may differ slightly between what is listed on this page and what is listed in the pdf file of the accepted manuscript; that in the pdf file of the accepted manuscript is what was submitted by the author