Clinical significance of interleukin-6, total bilirubin, CD3 + CD4 + T cells counts in the acute exacerbation of connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease: a cross-sectional study

Abstract Objective Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a severe complication of connective tissue disease (CTD) that can significantly impact patients' prognosis and quality of life. However, the current diagnostic arena lacks reliable biomarkers for detecting and monitoring the progression and exacerbation of CTD-ILD. This study aimed to investigate the clinical value of 12 serum cytokines in the diagnosis of CTD-ILD and prediction of the risk of acute exacerbation (AE) in this disease. Methods This study was a cross-sectional investigation. Ninety-one hospitalized CTD patients were allocated into two groups: CTD-ILD group (n = 61) and CTD-non-ILD group (n = 30), and 30 sex-age matched healthy volunteers were enrolled as controls. The serum concentrations of interferon (IFN)-α, IFN-γ, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, interleukin (IL)-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IL-17A, and IL-1β were measured by Luminex suspension arrays. Logistic regression was employed to determine the significance of variables in the occurrence of AE-CTD-ILD. A nomogram was constructed to visualize the independent variables. Results Elevated levels of IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α were observed and compared in the CTD-ILD group with CTD-non-ILD (all P < 0.05). Similarly, the levels of IL-6, IL-8 and TNF-α were higher in the acute exacerbation (AE-CTD-ILD) group compared with stable CTD-ILD (S-CTD-ILD) (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P = 0.022). Significant correlations between serum IL-6 and PaO2/FiO2 ratio (r = − 0.463, P < 0.001), percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%; r = − 0.362, P < 0.05), and total ground-glass opacity (GGO) score (r = 0.439, P < 0.001) were observed in CTD-ILD patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that elevated IL-6 levels, total bilirubin (TBil), and decreased CD3 + CD4 + T cells counts were independent risk factors for the occurrence of AE-CTD-ILD (OR = 1.121, P = 0.024; OR = 1.865, P = 0.047; OR = 0.983, P = 0.037, respectively). Furthermore, by employing these three variables in combination for the prediction of AE status, their collective impact surpasses the independent effects of any single biomarker. Conclusions Elevated levels of serum IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α were associated with the complication of ILD in CTD patients and the occurrence of AE in CTD-ILD patients. IL-6 could be a promising serum biomarker of severity and the occurrence of AE in CTD-ILD patients. The combination of the three variables (IL-6 level, TBil and CD3 + CD4 + T cells) predicted the AE-CTD-ILD better