Ecological Study on COVID-19 on the early growth rate and historical environmental (temperature, precipitation, air pollution) and socio-economic factors in 96 countries using GAM (Generalized Additive models)

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Publication date

May 2020

DOI

Abstract

Few studies looked at the determinants of the COVID-19 spread. This study investigates the link between historical socio-economic, environmental and health indicators and the transmission of COVID-19 in 96 countries using Generalized Additive Models. Our results indicated that the exponential early growth rate calculated on a period of seven days since the 100th case in each country is significantly and positively associated with the number of air passengers carried (p<0.0001). This spread was also associated with historical winter temperatures (p=0.02), the Universal Health Coverage Index (p=0.006) from World health Organization, GDP per capita (p=0.03) and the prevalence of overweight (=0.004) and undernourishment (p=0.09). In the sensiti...

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Ecological Study on COVID-19 on the early growth rate and historical environmental (temperature, precipitation, air pollution) and socio-economic factors in 96 countries using GAM (Generalized Additive models)

Abstract

Extracted data

Ecological Study on COVID-19 on the early growth rate and historical environmental (temperature, precipitation, air pollution) and socio-economic factors in 96 countries using GAM (Generalized Additive models)

Abstract

Extracted data

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