Technology of forecasting of basic indicators economic and social development at the regional level

The subject of the study is the theoretical and methodological principles of forecasting the indicators of economic and social development at the regional level. The purpose of the study is the developing model for forecasting the quantitative assessment of potentially possible outcomes of the region’s development for the forecast period, taking into account the options for external and internal conditions for development, the effectiveness of economic policies, current state and scenario conditions, resource constraints that will impose external and internal conditions for the functioning of the region’s economy, and its existing potential for development. Methods of research. In the work general scientific and special methods were used: scientific abstraction, analysis and synthesis; analytical; system. Results of work. The article develops the technology of forecasting the main indicators of economic and social development at the regional level. The field of application of results. Economics and management of the national economy, in the part of state systems and mechanisms of economic management at the sectoral, interindustrial and regional levels in the field of strategic planning of socio–economic development at the regional level. Conclusions. The technology of forecasting the main indicators of economic and social development of the region is based on the use of economic and mathematical methods and on the basis of the use of many methods of calculations and the choice of the most reliable and logical forecast. In practice, a simulation–econometric model is constructed that uses one–factor, multi–factor, time dependence of indicators and direct calculation methods