Poverty indicators for monitoring social macro-imbalances in Ukraine

The subject of research an analysis of the risk of macrodisbalances and social threats in Ukraine arising from the poverty of the population. The purpose of the article's writing is the author's research on trends in the poverty of the population in Ukraine and the risks of the emergence of social macro-imbalances - based on the analysis of the dynamics of poverty indicators developed. Methodology of the work - the position of economic theory and the theory of system analysis, economic-mathematical and statistical methods. On the basis of the system analysis the indicators reflecting different aspects of poverty in Ukraine are determined; Economic and mathematical methods have developed indicators for monitoring and analyzing the dynamics of population poverty. Results of the work - indicators for monitoring and analyzing the poverty situation in Ukraine have been developed; on the basis of the dynamics of indicators, trends in the development of poverty processes are identified and the risks of social threats in Ukraine are analyzed. Conclusions. The long-standing problem of poverty in Ukraine is a significant factor in limiting economic growth, it determines the poor quality of life of the population and causes social tension in society. For monitoring and analyzing the dynamics of poverty processes, a system of indicators has been developed to promptly identify the risks of social imbalances in Ukraine. The analysis of the dynamics of the indicators of recent years shows that since 2017 there is a significant reduction in the level of absolute poverty is due, on the one hand, to the improvement of the economic situation in the country and an increase in the incomes of the population, including an account of the increase of the minimum wage and large-scale subsidization of the population, on the other - a possible underestimation of the actual living wage. At the same time, there is a high probability of a rising share of the population at risk of poverty - an increase in the gap between the rates of inflation and wages, the growth of energy prices and housing and communal services, the implementation of the policy of limiting the quantity and amount of subsidies will contribute to strengthening such a trend in the future