Assessment of impact, growth in trade of agricultural commodities, India, Afghanistan and export to major countries

The major commodités traded from Afghan’s country are asafoetida, fig, grapes, almond, walnut and apple, are having the major share in terms of quantity commodités are major exportable agricultural commodités of Afghanistan, the trade performance of selected major agricultural commodities of India and Afghanistan. The major selected agricultural commodities in India are sugarcane, groundnut, coconut, rice, cumin and cashew. While Afghanistan’s crops are asafoetida, fig, grapes, almond, walnut and apple. The primary data regarding various constraints in trade are collected by selecting 30 Indian traders and 30 Afghan’s traders. The trade data was collected from both the countries for 10 years from 2010 to 2019. Descriptive statistics, multiple regressions, Compound growth rate analysis, Cuddy- Della Valley index, Markov Chain Analysis. Among seven provinces out of thirty four provinces of Afghanistan showed a very high and significant growth in area and production of major six crops except in Balkh province and least in Badakhshan province. Compound annual growth rate analysis and descriptive statistics of growth rate analysis revealed that India was a stable importer of asafoetida which grew at the rate of 19.15 per cent, in case of fig growth rate was 17.17 per cent, almond growth rate was 20.92 per cent, grapes was 112.19 per cent, walnut growth rate was 16.24 per cent and apple growth rate was 51.62 per cent from Afghanistan. The results also revealed that export to Afghanistan was also stable in case of sugar, positive and significant growth rate of 14.93 per cent, groundnut growth rate was 51.70 per cent, while coconut had 50.30 per cent, rice showed growth rate of 1.56 per cent, cumin revealed rate of 28.90 per cent and cashew was positive and significant 23.88 per cent. The transitional probabilities matrix for India’s sugar revealed that seven countries namely Srilanka, UAE, Sudan, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Saudi Arabia and Afghanistan were the major importers while UAE and Sudan were moderately stable markets for India’s Sugar. NPC for the period 2019-20 revealed that asafoetida export had a high degree of comparative advantage in the world. Fig crop export from Afghanistan was also competitive. India’s and Afghan’s export to major countries. The India and Afghanistan countries have potential for agricultural products marketing in the globe and India is progressing past to emerge as one of the potential exporter in the world in the future days.This article has been published by Mohammad Akbar Nadeerpoor in 202