After the 2016 US presidential elections, many started seriously questioning the legitimacy of polls, and in turn, pollsters. Right up to the election night, polls for months had been showing Hillary Clinton as the almost certain winner of the debate, yet the nation was left surprised. While pollsters argue the public can still trust them, the public has become weary, and reasonably so. In this project, we'll look into this year's presidential election polls focusing on the pollsters themselves -- not at whether or not they were correct in who the winner would be, but on how closely they're projections were to actual results, at least as of Monday Nov. 9, 2020 (with about 98-99% of national results in). We'll look at the data on pollsters a...
We analyze individual probabilistic predictions of state outcomes in the 2008 U.S. presidential elec...
Three senior researchers from the Pew Research Centre suggest three possible reasons why US pol...
Abstract One often-noted difficulty in pre-election polling is the iden-tification of likely voters....
Opinion polls are central to the study of electoral politics. With modern election polling dating ba...
This report examines new data from Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape and the Democracy Fund VOTER Su...
For decades political pollsters have relied on questions about people’s voting intention in order to...
For most commentators and pollsters, Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential election came a...
Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flaw...
The 2016 presidential election was a jarring event for polling in the United States. Preelection pol...
The PollyVote project predicts the outcome of US presidential elections by combining forecasts from ...
Much like the UK’s vote to leave the European Union, few polling experts predicted Donald Trump woul...
The 2020 US Presidential Election was unique in many ways, and held a number of surprising results. ...
Perhaps one of the greatest components of American Democracy, free and fair elections have been the ...
These data on voting intentions for the 2016 US presidential election was scraped from the Huffingto...
Abstract One often-noted difficulty in pre-election polling is the iden-tification of likely voters....
We analyze individual probabilistic predictions of state outcomes in the 2008 U.S. presidential elec...
Three senior researchers from the Pew Research Centre suggest three possible reasons why US pol...
Abstract One often-noted difficulty in pre-election polling is the iden-tification of likely voters....
Opinion polls are central to the study of electoral politics. With modern election polling dating ba...
This report examines new data from Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape and the Democracy Fund VOTER Su...
For decades political pollsters have relied on questions about people’s voting intention in order to...
For most commentators and pollsters, Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential election came a...
Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flaw...
The 2016 presidential election was a jarring event for polling in the United States. Preelection pol...
The PollyVote project predicts the outcome of US presidential elections by combining forecasts from ...
Much like the UK’s vote to leave the European Union, few polling experts predicted Donald Trump woul...
The 2020 US Presidential Election was unique in many ways, and held a number of surprising results. ...
Perhaps one of the greatest components of American Democracy, free and fair elections have been the ...
These data on voting intentions for the 2016 US presidential election was scraped from the Huffingto...
Abstract One often-noted difficulty in pre-election polling is the iden-tification of likely voters....
We analyze individual probabilistic predictions of state outcomes in the 2008 U.S. presidential elec...
Three senior researchers from the Pew Research Centre suggest three possible reasons why US pol...
Abstract One often-noted difficulty in pre-election polling is the iden-tification of likely voters....