Additional file 1 of Real-time forecasting of COVID-19 spread according to protective behavior and vaccination: autoregressive integrated moving average models

Additional file 1: S1 Fig. Effects of full vaccination on the (A) case growth rate, (B) number of ICU patients with COVID-19 per million, and (C) number of deaths due to COVID-19 per million in the Omicron period. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001. S2 Fig. The Alpha & Delta (blue shaded area) and the Omicron periods (pink shaded area) based on the vaccine coverage for (a) full vaccination and (b) booster doses in Canada (red line), France (green line), Israel (blue line), and Italy (purple line). S1 Appendix. ARIMA model. S2 Appendix. case growth rate and first differences. S1 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting for vaccine coverage in the Alpha & Delta period. S2 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting by vaccine coverage in the Omicron period. (split at a 70:30 ratio). S3 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting for vaccine coverage in the Alpha & Delta period (split at an 80:20 ratio). S4 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting for vaccine coverage in the Alpha & Delta period (split at a 90:10 ratio). S5 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting by vaccine coverage in the Omicron period. (split at an 80:20 ratio). S6 Table. Coefficient estimates of all models with/without adjusting by vaccine coverage in the Omicron period (split at a 90:10 ratio)