Econometric estimation of a technology diffusion modell. Part 2.

The paper attempts to model and estimate diffusion paths of producers of innovation of a limited set of high technology markets. It is assumed that a "representative" firm in a given market population (of firms) is faced with the discrete of entry of non-entry (exit or non-exit) into the market, and that the choice probabilities depend on crucial economic parameters essentially determining the length of the evaluationary period for the speed of diffusion. The model identifies strategic factors (facilitating diffusion) for a small spectrum of diffused product/process technologies, it can also serve as a forecasting model for emerging targeted technologies in related industries. (INT