Minimal Lung Mechanics Basis-functions for a Mechanical Ventilation Virtual Patient

Mechanical ventilation (MV) is used in the intensive care unit (ICU) to treat patients with respiratory failure. However, MV settings are not standardized due to significant inter- and intra- patient variability in response to care, leading to variability in care, outcome, and cost. There is thus a need to personalize MV. This research extends a single compartment lung mechanics model with physiologically relevant basis functions, to identify patient-specific lung mechanics and predict response to changes in MV care. The nonlinear evolution of pulmonary elastance as positive-end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) changes is captured by a physiologically relevant, simplified compensatory equation as a function of PEEP and pressure identification error at the baseline PEEP level. It allows both patient-specific and general prediction of lung elastance of higher PEEP. The prediction outcome is validated with data from two volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) trials and one pressure-controlled ventilation (PCV) trial, where the biggest PEEP prediction interval is a clinically unrealistic 20cmH(2)O, comprising 210 prediction cases over 36 patients (22 VCV; 14 PCV). Predicted absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) errors are within 1.0cmH(2)O and 3.3cmH(2)O for 90% cases in the two VCV trials, while predicted peak inspiratory tidal volume (PIV) errors are within 0.073L for 85% cases in studied PCV trial. The model presented provides a highly accurate, predictive virtual patient model across multiple MV modes and delivery methods, and over clinically unrealistically large changes. Low computational cost, and fast, easy parameterization enable model-based, predictive decision support in real-time to safely personalize and optimize MV care. Copyright (C) 2021 The Authors