Fuzzy clustering of time series with time-varying memory

Little attention has been devoted to the long memory among the different data features considered for clustering time series. Following previous literature, we measure the long memory of a time series through the estimated Hurst exponent. However, we exploit the fact that a constant value for the Hurst exponent h is unrealistic in many practical examples. In this paper, assuming that the time series follows a multifractional Brownian motion, we estimate a time-varying Hurst exponent used as the input for a fuzzy clustering procedure. Motivated by the relevance of long memory in finance, the usefulness of the proposed clustering procedure is shown with an application to stock prices