Assessing the marine ecological welfare performance of coastal regions in China and analysing its determining factors

This study used three-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) and Tobit regression models to comprehensively evaluate the performance levels, trends, and differences of marine ecological welfare (MEW) in China, and explore its influencing factors to derive relevant policy suggestions. The evaluation results indicate that the three-stage DEA model performed better on MEW than the traditional DEA model by effectively eliminating the influence of random errors and external environmental factors. However, it underestimated the coastal MEW performance of the country. The southern marine economic circle showed an overall improvement, whereas the overall northern marine economic circle did not improve much; the eastern marine economic circle was stable. Moreover, the external environmental factors significantly impacted the performance of MEW, and the value of average MEW performance of each province changed to some extent under the influence of the slack variables of resource consumption and environmental consumption input. Other factors that significantly influenced China’s coastal MEW performance were the level of economic developments on land and government environmental regulations, which correlated positively. Meanwhile, inadequate development momentum in marine research and technology or poor achievement transformation rate negatively influenced it. Finally, countermeasures and suggestions were proposed based on the results of empirical analysis