Non-linear probability weighting is an integral part of descriptive theories of choice under risk such as prospect theory. But why do these objective errors in information processing exist? Should we try to help individuals overcome their mistake of overweighting small and underweighting large probabilities? In this paper, we argue that probability weighting can be seen as a compensation for preexisting biases in evaluating payoffs. In particular, inverse S-shaped probability weighting is a flipside of S-shaped payoff valuation. Probability distortions may thus have survived as a second-best solution to a fitness maximization problem, and it can be counter-productive to correct them while keeping the value function unchanged
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...
Non-linear probability weighting is an integral part of descriptive theories of choice under risk su...
The economic concept of the second-best involves the idea that multiple simultaneous deviations from...
The focus of this contribution is on the transformation of objective probability, which in Prospect ...
In this paper we begin by stressing the empirical importance of non-linear weighting of probabilitie...
When valuing risky prospects, people tend to overweight small probabilities and to underweight large...
Expected utility (EU) theory is unable to accommodate the observed nonlinear weighting of probabilit...
This thesis consists of three closely related studies investigating individual decision-making under...
In this paper we show that the wildly popular Holt and Laury (2002) risk preference elicitation meth...
It is well known that individuals treat losses and gains differently and there exists non-linearity ...
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to...
Empirical studies have shown that decision makers do not usually treat probabili-ties linearly. Inst...
I present new estimates of the probability weighting functions found in rankdependent theories of ch...
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...
Non-linear probability weighting is an integral part of descriptive theories of choice under risk su...
The economic concept of the second-best involves the idea that multiple simultaneous deviations from...
The focus of this contribution is on the transformation of objective probability, which in Prospect ...
In this paper we begin by stressing the empirical importance of non-linear weighting of probabilitie...
When valuing risky prospects, people tend to overweight small probabilities and to underweight large...
Expected utility (EU) theory is unable to accommodate the observed nonlinear weighting of probabilit...
This thesis consists of three closely related studies investigating individual decision-making under...
In this paper we show that the wildly popular Holt and Laury (2002) risk preference elicitation meth...
It is well known that individuals treat losses and gains differently and there exists non-linearity ...
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to...
Empirical studies have shown that decision makers do not usually treat probabili-ties linearly. Inst...
I present new estimates of the probability weighting functions found in rankdependent theories of ch...
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but ...