a) The time it takes to generate the population and to simulate the propagation of the disease for 48 hours is plotted for six cities with population sizes from 6k to 30k. The clock (virus spread period) is 60 minutes in this experiment. The horizontal axis represents the population size, and the vertical axis represents the total process time. The experiment for every size of the population is repeated multiple times (each vertically aligned dot corresponds to an experiment) to achieve confidence, and the straight line indicates the trend. b) The number of active cases versus time is shown for a sample city with a population size of 20k. To emphasize the probabilistic nature of Pyfectious, the same experiment is repeated multiple times, an...
(A) Proportion of infected travellers detected relative to infection time, in a scenario with incide...
<p>Each plot is a comparison of the outcome of the runs starting with a particular immunity level to...
<p>In all panels A–F, colored curves represent the pathogen population sizes of different virus stra...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The final size of the local epidemic (A) and the time until the infected individuals first appear...
<p>The average -log<sub>2</sub> transformed p-value was calculated across the same 12 geographic reg...
<p>Given population density, 60 simulation replicates were run for each vaccination diffusion rate <...
In (a) and (b) two characteristically similar simulators’ timelines are displayed that only differ i...
a) The simulation is executed without any control measure, and the number of infected individuals is...
<p>The plots show the number of successful trials out of 100 simulated trial runs (y-axis) for diffe...
Although the generation time of an infectious disease plays a key role in estimating its transmissio...
Replicate time series of (A) infection prevalence and (B) mean infection burden across sampled hosts...
<p>(A) Daily prevalence of symptomatic influenza in simulations of metropolitan Seattle for various ...
<p>The stochastic combined mean final epidemic size 〈<i>E</i>〉 as a function of the fractional alloc...
<p>Left: 5% initially infected, chosen randomly from the population. Right: 5% initially infected, c...
(A) Proportion of infected travellers detected relative to infection time, in a scenario with incide...
<p>Each plot is a comparison of the outcome of the runs starting with a particular immunity level to...
<p>In all panels A–F, colored curves represent the pathogen population sizes of different virus stra...
a) The number of currently infected individuals is plotted versus time for different values of the i...
<p>The final size of the local epidemic (A) and the time until the infected individuals first appear...
<p>The average -log<sub>2</sub> transformed p-value was calculated across the same 12 geographic reg...
<p>Given population density, 60 simulation replicates were run for each vaccination diffusion rate <...
In (a) and (b) two characteristically similar simulators’ timelines are displayed that only differ i...
a) The simulation is executed without any control measure, and the number of infected individuals is...
<p>The plots show the number of successful trials out of 100 simulated trial runs (y-axis) for diffe...
Although the generation time of an infectious disease plays a key role in estimating its transmissio...
Replicate time series of (A) infection prevalence and (B) mean infection burden across sampled hosts...
<p>(A) Daily prevalence of symptomatic influenza in simulations of metropolitan Seattle for various ...
<p>The stochastic combined mean final epidemic size 〈<i>E</i>〉 as a function of the fractional alloc...
<p>Left: 5% initially infected, chosen randomly from the population. Right: 5% initially infected, c...
(A) Proportion of infected travellers detected relative to infection time, in a scenario with incide...
<p>Each plot is a comparison of the outcome of the runs starting with a particular immunity level to...
<p>In all panels A–F, colored curves represent the pathogen population sizes of different virus stra...