Predictive effect of triglyceride-glucose index on clinical events in patients with acute ischemic stroke and type 2 diabetes mellitus

Abstract Background The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was significantly related to clinical outcome in patients with cardiovascular disease (CAD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD). We aim to investigate the association between TyG index and clinical prognosis of acute ischemic stroke (IS) patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods Among 19,604 patients with acute IS admitted to the China National Stroke Registry II (CNSRII), 3359 IS patients with T2DM were included in the cross-sectional analysis. The TyG index (calculated by ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]) was split into four quartiles. The outcomes included recurrent IS, all-cause death and poor outcome at 1 year were analyzed. The association between the TyG index and adverse cerebrovascular outcomes was assessed by proportional hazards regression analysis. Results During 1 year follow-up, recurrent IS, all-cause death and poor outcome occurred in 305 (9.08%), 229 (6.82%) and 443 (47.9%) cases, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses showed that the risk of incident primary endpoints was associated with a higher TyG quartile. After adjustment for confounding factors, patients with a higher TyG index had an association with IS recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.97–2.03; P = 0.048) and all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.062–2.74; P = 0.028), compared with those in the first quartile at 1 year time follow-up. In addition, there were interactions between TyG index and age (≥ 65), female, hypertensive agents, anticoagulant agents, statins and antidiabetic agents in subgroup analyses, especially patients without taken anticoagulant drugs were significantly related to IS recurrence, all-cause death and poor outcome (P = 0.003, P = 0.006 and P = 0.001, respectively). Conclusions TyG index is strongly related to the IS recurrence and all-cause death in acute IS patients with T2DM. This finding indicates that the TyG index might be a potential predictor of clinical outcome for acute IS patients with T2DM