One- and 2-year flare rates after treat-to-target and tight-control therapy of gout: results from the NOR-Gout study

[EN] OBJECTIVES: To explore the frequency and predictors of flares over 2years during a treat-to-target strategy with urate-lowering therapy (ULT) in patients with gout. METHODS: In the treat-to-target, tight control NOR-Gout study patients started ULT with escalating doses of allopurinol. Flares were recorded over 2years. Baseline predictors of flares during months 9-12 in year 1 and during year 2 were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 211 patients included (mean age 56.4years, disease duration 7.8years, 95% males), 81% (150/186) of patients experienced at least one gout flare during the first year and 26% (45/173) during the second year. The highest frequency of flares in the first year was seen during months 3-6 (46.8% of patients). Baseline crystal depositions detected by ultrasound and by dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) were the only variables which predicted flares both during the first period of interest at months 9-12 (OR 1.033; 95% CI 1.010-1.057, and OR 1.056; 95% CI 1.007-1.108) and also in year 2. Baseline subcutaneous tophi (OR 2.42, 95% CI 1.50-5.59) and prior use of colchicine at baseline (OR 2.48, 95% CI 1.28-4.79) were independent predictors of flares during months 9-12, whereas self-efficacy for pain was a protective predictor (OR 0.98 per unit, 95% CI 0.964-0.996). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with gout, flares remain frequent during the first year of a treat-to-target ULT strategy, especially during months 3-6, but are much less frequent during year 2. Baseline crystal depositions predict flares over 2years, supporting ULT early during disease course.The study was funded by Diakonhjemmet Hospital and was performed by employees at National Advisory Unit on Rehabilitation in Rheumatology (NKRR) and Division of Rheumatology and Research, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway