On the Automatic Prediction of PM10 with In-Situ Measurements, Satellite AOT Retrievals and Ancillary Data

Abstract: Daily monitoring of unhealthy particles suspended in the low troposphere is of major concern around the world, and ground- based measuring stations represent a reliable but still inadequate means for a full spatial coverage assessment. Advances in satellite sensors have provided new datasets and though less precise than in- situ observations, they can be combined altogether to enhance the prediction of particulate matter. In this article we evaluate a method- ology for automatic multi-variate estimation of PM10 dry mass con- centrations along with a comparison of three different cokriging es- timators, which integrate ground measurements of PM10 , satellite MODIS-derived retrievals of aerosols optical thickness and further auxiliary data. Results highlight the need for further improvements and studies. The analysis employs the available data in 2007 over the Emilia Romagna region (Padana Plain, Northern Italy), where stag- nant meteorological conditions further urge for a comprehensive air quality monitoring. Qualitative PM10 full maps of Emilia Romagna are then automatically yielded on-line in a dynamic GIS environment for multi-temporal analysis on air quality