Predictive role of the immunostaining pattern of immunofluorescence and the titers of antipituitary antibodies at presentation for the occurrence of autoimmune hypopituitarism in patients with autoimmune polyendocrine syndromes over a five-year follow-up

CONTEXT: Antipituitary antibodies (APA) are frequently present in patients with autoimmune polyendocrine syndrome (APS). DESIGN: The aim was to evaluate the predictive value of APA for the occurrence of hypopituitarism. A total of 149 APA-positive and 50 APA-negative patients with APS and normal pituitary function were longitudinally studied for 5 yr. METHODS: APA, by indirect immunofluorescence, and anterior pituitary function were ssessed yearly in all patients. The risk for developing autoimmune pituitary dysfunction was calculated using survival and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Hypopituitarism occurred in 28 of 149 (18.8%) APA-positive patients but in none of the 50 APA-negative patients. The immunostaining pattern in APA-positive patients involved either isolated pituitary cells [type 1 pattern; n=99 (66.4%)] or all pituitary cells [type 2 pattern; n=50 (33.6%)]. All patients developing pituitary dysfunction throughout the study span had a type 1 pattern. Kaplan-Meier curves for cumulative survival showed a significantly higher rate for developing hypopituitarism in relation to positive APA tests (P<0.005), pattern of immunostaining (P<0.0001), and APA titers (P<0.000001). Cox regression analysis in APA-positive patients with a type 1 pattern demonstrated a significantly (P