Model predictions of hospitalizations and deaths.

Median predictions of a) total hospitalizations and b) daily deaths over time. Several scenarios are shown. Median model predictions given estimates of social distancing measures and daily vaccination rate as of Sept. 24th 2021 are shown by the solid black curve, while the median model predictions given a full release of social measures is shown in blue. The 90% confidence interval for these two scenarios (social measures estimated on Sept. 24th 2021, and full release of social measures) are given by the yellow and blue bands, respectively. If vaccination rate is increased by a factor of 1.5x, the median model predictions are shown by the green curve when applying estimates of social measures as of Sept. 24th 2021 and shown in magenta under a full release of social measures. The daily hospitalization and death data is shown by the red circles.