Risk assessment of maritime supply chains within the context of the Maritime Silk Road

This work aims to apply a novel approach to assess the risks of maritime supply chains (MSCs) within the context of the Maritime Silk Road (MSR) by employing fuzzy logic and evidential reasoning. Compared to traditional risk analysis methods, the novel approach has its superiorities in dealing with incomplete and vague data, synthesizing multiple data formats, and preventing the loss of important risk information. A case of the risk factors influencing MSCs along the MSR is analysed, and the assessment results reveal that the fuel price is the most significant risk factor. Sensitive analysis is applied to validate and illustrate the rationality and practicality of the proposed approach. The findings can provide the MSR stakeholders with important insights for the safety management of MSCs along MSR