Sediment and Radioactivity Transport in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas: A Modeling Study

This paper is concerned with the development of a radionuclide dispersion model for the nuclear power plants in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China seas (BYECS) characterized by high turbidity and multi-scale circulations, focusing on the comparison of dispersion processes of 137Cs depending upon, in particular, the suspended sediment concentration and erosion/sedimentation processes. The simulations were carried out using a multi-fraction sediment transport model embedded in the semi-implicit Eulerian–Lagrangian finite-element coupled wave-circulation model linked with the model of radionuclide transport, which describes the key radionuclide transfer processes in the system of water–multi-fraction sediments. In contrast to the Eulerian models used for hydrodynamics and sediment transport processes, the Lagrangian technique was applied to simulate the transport of radionuclides. The simulation results for total suspended concentration agreed with in situ measurements and the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager data. The results of the simulation of hypothetical releases of 137Cs from four nuclear power plants (NPPs) placed in BYECS essentially differ from the real release of activity in the Pacific Ocean shelf due to the Fukushima Daiichi accident, which took place at the same time and released activity that was similar. The total amount of bottom contamination of 137Cs in releases from the Sanmen, Hanbit, and Hongyanhe NPPs was about 40% of dissolved component, and the total amount of suspended component was about 20% of dissolved component, in contrast with the Fukushima Daiichi accident, where the particulate component was only 2%. The results demonstrate the importance of erosion processes in the budget of 137Cs in shallow areas around the Sanmen and Hanbit NPPs, where strong wind and tidal currents took place