Research on the Spatial-Temporal Differentiation and Path Analysis of China’s Provincial Regions’ High-Quality Economic Development

High-quality economic development is an important approach for achieving sustainable economic development, and it is an essential condition for coordinated development between economic systems and ecosystems. This paper starts from five key points, namely, “innovation, coordination, opening-up, sharing and greenness”, to construct an evaluation system for the index of high-quality economic development, using the AHP and EVM methods to measure the level of high-quality economic development of 30 regions in China from 2004 to 2019. It uses the kernel density estimation model (hereinafter referred to briefly as KDE) and clustering method to analyze time evolution trends and spatial variation characteristics. Moreover, the LSE model is adopted to explore and analyze the factors influencing high-quality economic development in different regions. Additionally, the driving forces of China’s high-quality economic development are analyzed by means of path analysis combined with the average value of each index. The results show the following: (1) The high-quality economic development of 30 regions in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Tibet) is spatially clustered, with obviously different development levels, characterized by the eastern region being better developed than the central and western regions. (2) With the passage of time, the polarization of China’s 30 regions has been alleviated, but they are still facing challenging development situations; (3) The factors affecting the high-quality economic development of these 30 regions in China can be divided into four types: three-factors, four-factors-I, four-factors-II and five-factors. Contributing regional factors show different distribution characteristics. The above conclusion provides a reference and scientific basis for the government to formulate policies of high-quality economic development and to solve problems facing coordinated sustainable development among regional societies, their economies and the environment