Estimation of age-dependent decrease in blastocyst euploidy by next generation sequencing: Development of a novel prediction model

BACKGROUND: We developed a model to estimate the female age-dependent decrease in blastocyst euploidy and the impact of blastocyst cohort size on the likelihood of having at least one euploid blastocyst for transfer. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 1296 trophectoderm biopsies by next-generation sequencing analysis from 436 infertile couples undergoing intracytoplasmic sperm injection and preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy. A logistic regression model was fit to the data. The dependent and independent variables were embryo genetic status and female age, respectively. The method of fitting was quadratic on age, and the model was validated with cross validation by a data splitting technique. RESULTS: The decrease in the probability of blastocyst euploidy follows an age-dependent binomial distribution, progressing with every year of female age, from 1.2% to 24.5% in 28-44 years-old women (P