I modelli di previsione delle crisi aziendali: alcune riflessioni

The forecasting models of corporate crisis are several and extremely diversified. Generally, the most simple models are cheap but also less reliable. The most complex models, at least from the theoretical point of view, assure the best results but they are more expensive and hard to manage. In any case, none of them can guarantee a "total" reliability and efficiency. Least of all, in a situation of heavy global crisis, like the present one, where the firms difficulties become structural and the phenomenon of "induced" insolvencies can be generated, even to the detriment of the basically healthy firms