Modeling Decision-Making Learning Process Under Crisis Situation

The purpose of this paper is to study the decision-making learning processes under crisis conditions with particular emphasis on the impact of training, or lack thereof, and the response to the crisis. Crisis decision-making is very important since in many cases its consequences are irreversible and even fatal. Sufficient amount of the right training can make response instinctive or intuitive. However, how to train a person to handle crisis decision-making tasks is rarely studied, partially due to the difficulty in replication of crisis. In this paper, we utilized the power law of learning to construct the learning curve for decision-making tasks under time stress and uncertain information. A microworld simulation (FireChief) was used to conduct a case study. Results show the human decision-making learning process under crisis follows a power law manner