Sprawl or Segregation? Local Fertility as a Proxy of Socio-spatial Disparities Under Sequential Economic Downturns

Although long-term demographic trends have been extensively analyzed in advanced economies, impact of economic downturns on local fertility has been poorly investigated in low fertility contexts. Earlier studies have documented suburban fertility as significantly higher than urban and rural fertility, thanks to a mix of macro (contextual) and micro (behavioral) factors shaping birth rates. In light of the ‘suburban fertility hypothesis’, the present study provides a refined analysis of local fertility rates between 1999 and 2019 at urban, suburban, and rural locations in Athen