Modelling of rainfall-induced shallow landslides of the flow-type

The paper deals with the modeling of failure and postfailure stage of shallow landslides of the flow-type that often affect natural shallow deposits of colluvial, weathered, and pyroclastic origin. The failure stage is frequently associated to rainfall that directly infiltrates the slope surface and to spring from the underlying bedrock. The postfailure stage is characterized by the sudden acceleration of the failed mass. The geomechanical modeling of both stages, based on site conditions and soil mechanical behavior, represents a fundamental issue to properly assess the failure conditions and recognize the potential for long travel distances of the failed soil masses. To this aim, in this paper, the current literature on the failure and postfailure stages of the shallow landslides of the flow-type is first reviewed. Then, an approach for their geomechanical modeling is proposed and three different modeling alternatives are presented. These models are then used to analyze, at different scales, a relevant case study of Southern Italy Sarno-Quindici event, May 4–5, 1998. Numerical analyses outline that both site conditions and hydraulic boundary conditions are among the key factors to evaluate the reliability of landslides of the flow-type. The potentialities and limitations of the available models are also evidenced as well as the perspectives related to the use of more advanced numerical models