The prediction of the death toll of Pleural Mesothelioma in the area of Casale Monferrato - Italy

Asbestos is the main casual factor for pleural mesothelioma (PM). The largest Eternit asbestos-cement factory was active from 1907 to 1985 in Casale Monferrato, in north-western Italy. Only in the last decades, the epidemic of PM began to show its gravity. Traditional studies (APC analysis and Environmental studies) focused on measuring the risk mostly for particular categories of people, and on deducing the corresponding death toll by applying the relative risks to plausible future population scenarios. Mostly the individual exposure history (intensity and duration of exposure) is not included