Impact of Traffic Demand on Air Traffic Complexity

Analizom prometnih podataka objavljenih od strane HKZP-a vidljivo je povećanje prometa i prometne potražnje zadnjih nekoliko godina. Prometne prognoze prometne potražnje koje je objavio EUROCONTROL predviđaju rast prometa bez obzira na zadnje dvije godine koje su zabilježile veliki pad prometa zbog pandemije uzrokovane virusom SARS Covid-19. Prometna potražnja povezana je s kompleksnosti koja ovisi o različitim indikatorima. Pomoću programa NEST mogu se izračunati ti indikatori i napraviti konačan rezultat kompleksnosti pomoću formula za izračun kompleksnosti. U programu NEST mogu se napraviti različite simulacije prometa. U ovom radu su napravljene simulacije povećanja prometne potražnje prometa 2018. godine za 5, 10 i 15 % te je uspoređen promet i kompleksnost u odnosu na 2018. i 2019. godinu. Konačni rezultati pokazuju kako je prometna potražnja utjecala na kompleksnost zračnog prometa.An analysis of traffic data published by HKZP shows an increase in traffic and traffic demand over the past few years. Traffic demand forecasts published by EUROCONTROL predict traffic growth regardless of the last two years, which have seen a large drop in traffic due to the pandemic caused by the SARS Covid-19 virus. Traffic demand is associated with complexity that depends on different indicators. Using the NEST program, these indicators can be calculated and a final complexity result can be made using formulas for calculating complexity. Various traffic simulations can be made in the NEST program. In this paper, simulations of the increase in traffic demand in 2018 by 5, 10 and 15% were made, and traffic and complexity were compared to 2018 and 2019. The final results show how traffic demand affected the complexity of air traffic