Factor-based forecasting has been at the forefront of developments in the macroeconometric forecasting literature in the recent past. Despite the flurry of activity in the area, a number of specification issues such as the choice of the number of factors in the forecasting regression, the benefits of combining factor-based forecasts and the choice of the dataset from which to extract the factors remain partly unaddressed. This paper provides a comprehensive empirical investigation of these issues using data for the euro area, the six largest euro area countries, and the UK
The thesis contains four essays covering topics in the field of macroeconomic forecasting.The first ...
We compare models for forecasting growth and inflation in the enlarged euro area. Forecasts are buil...
Previous findings indicate that the inclusion of dynamic factors obtained from a large set of predic...
Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performanc...
We suggest to use a factor model based backdating procedure to construct historical Euro-area macroe...
"We suggest to use a factor model based backdating procedure to construct historical Euro-area macro...
This paper investigates several time series methods for forecasting four Euro-area wide aggregate va...
This paper uses a meta-analysis to survey existing factor forecast applications for output and infla...
Forecast models that take into account unbalanced datasets have recently attracted substantial atten...
In this paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for Euro-area inflati...
In this paper we propose a monthly measure for the euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) based on ...
In this Paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for Euro-area inflati...
This paper estimates aggregate measures of macroeconomic uncertainty from individual density forecas...
Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performanc...
Uncertainty associated with an optimal number of macroeconomic variables to be used in factor model ...
The thesis contains four essays covering topics in the field of macroeconomic forecasting.The first ...
We compare models for forecasting growth and inflation in the enlarged euro area. Forecasts are buil...
Previous findings indicate that the inclusion of dynamic factors obtained from a large set of predic...
Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performanc...
We suggest to use a factor model based backdating procedure to construct historical Euro-area macroe...
"We suggest to use a factor model based backdating procedure to construct historical Euro-area macro...
This paper investigates several time series methods for forecasting four Euro-area wide aggregate va...
This paper uses a meta-analysis to survey existing factor forecast applications for output and infla...
Forecast models that take into account unbalanced datasets have recently attracted substantial atten...
In this paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for Euro-area inflati...
In this paper we propose a monthly measure for the euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) based on ...
In this Paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for Euro-area inflati...
This paper estimates aggregate measures of macroeconomic uncertainty from individual density forecas...
Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performanc...
Uncertainty associated with an optimal number of macroeconomic variables to be used in factor model ...
The thesis contains four essays covering topics in the field of macroeconomic forecasting.The first ...
We compare models for forecasting growth and inflation in the enlarged euro area. Forecasts are buil...
Previous findings indicate that the inclusion of dynamic factors obtained from a large set of predic...