Vegetation structure parameters determine high burn severity likelihood in different ecosystem types: A case study in a burned Mediterranean landscape

The design and implementation of pre-fire management strategies in heterogeneous landscapes requires the identification of the ecological conditions contributing to the most adverse effects of wildfires. This study evaluates which features of pre-fire vegetation structure, estimated through broadband land surface albedo and Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data fusion, promote high wildfire damage across several fire-prone ecosystems dominated by either shrub (gorse, heath and broom) or tree species (Pyrenean oak and Scots pine). Topography features were also considered since they can assist in the identification of priority areas where vegetation structure needs to be managed. The case study was conducted within the scar of a mixed-severity wildfire that occurred in the Western Mediterranean Basin. Burn severity was estimated using the differenced Normalized Burn Ratio index computed from Sentinel-2 multispectral instrument (MSI) Level 2 A at 10 m of spatial resolution and validated in the field using the Composite Burn Index (CBI). Ordinal regression models were implemented to evaluate high burn severity outcome based on three groups of predictors: topography, pre-fire broadband land surface albedo computed from Sentinel-2 and pre-fire LiDAR metrics. Models were validated both by 10-fold cross-validation and external validation. High burn severity was largely ecosystem-dependent. In oak and pine forest ecosystems, severe damage was promoted by a high canopy volume (model accuracy = 79%) and a low canopy base height (accuracy = 82%), respectively. Land surface albedo, which is directly related to aboveground biomass and vegetation cover, outperformed LiDAR metrics to predict high burn severity in ecosystems with sparse vegetation. This is the case of gorse and broom shrub ecosystems (accuracy of 80% and 77%, respectively). The effect of topography was overwhelmed by that of the vegetation structure portion of the fire triangle behavior, except for heathlands, in which warm and steep slopes played a key role in high burn severity outcome together with horizontal and vertical fuel continuity (accuracy = 71%). The findings of this study support the fusion of LiDAR and satellite albedo data to assist forest managers in the development of ecosystem-specific management actions aimed at reducing wildfire damage and promote ecosystem resilience.This study was financially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF), in the framework of the GESFIRE (AGL2013-48189-C2-1-R) and FIRESEVES (AGL2017-86075-C2-1-R) projects; and by the Regional Government of Castilla and León in the framework of the FIRECYL (LE033U14), SEFIRECYL (LE001P17) and WUIFIRECYL (LE005P20) projects. J.M. Fernández-Guisuraga is supported by a predoctoral fellowship from the Spanish Ministry of Education (FPU16/03070)