This white paper describes the requirements for strategic decision-making tools that support critical decision-making based on predictions. A hypothesis-driven (data-driven) system rather than a purely data-driven methodology. Furthermore, we propose a simple, natural human-computer interaction approach that simplifies the creation of complex domain models in systems that use probabilistic reasoning methods to facilitate high-quality decision-making under uncertainty. I will also explain the importance. Such systems help users build complex models, query for predictions, formulate hypotheses, and validate predictions using evidence obtained from corpora of text documents. The system needs technology to automatically compile and explain pred...
484 p., fig., 1 disquette soupleThe methodology used in technological forecasting is made crystal cl...
This paper describes an approach to connect decision analysis models with outputs of analytic method...
How do people make difficult decisions in situations involving substantial risk and uncertainty? In ...
A prudent decision-maker facing a complicated strategic decision considers the factors relevant to t...
Purpose: This paper aims to investigate the role of predictive models in the learning and decision-m...
In current market conditions, the key to productive economic activity is the ability to provide a h...
Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the role of predictive models in the learning and decision-...
This paper introduces the C2 community to a new technology based process that permits the analyzing ...
Today, decision support systems based on predictive modeling are becoming more common, since organiz...
An extensive literature in psychology, economics, statistics, operations research and management sci...
Expert systems use rules to represent experts ’ reasoning in solving problems. The rules are based o...
Stern’s 2005 paper "Defining cognitive decision making processes in forecasting: a knowledge ba...
How useful are probabilistic forecasts of the outcomes of particular situations? Potentially, they c...
Intelligence analysis plays a vital role in policy decision-making. Key functions of intelligence an...
My dissertation lies at the intersection of computer science and the decision sciences. With psychol...
484 p., fig., 1 disquette soupleThe methodology used in technological forecasting is made crystal cl...
This paper describes an approach to connect decision analysis models with outputs of analytic method...
How do people make difficult decisions in situations involving substantial risk and uncertainty? In ...
A prudent decision-maker facing a complicated strategic decision considers the factors relevant to t...
Purpose: This paper aims to investigate the role of predictive models in the learning and decision-m...
In current market conditions, the key to productive economic activity is the ability to provide a h...
Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the role of predictive models in the learning and decision-...
This paper introduces the C2 community to a new technology based process that permits the analyzing ...
Today, decision support systems based on predictive modeling are becoming more common, since organiz...
An extensive literature in psychology, economics, statistics, operations research and management sci...
Expert systems use rules to represent experts ’ reasoning in solving problems. The rules are based o...
Stern’s 2005 paper "Defining cognitive decision making processes in forecasting: a knowledge ba...
How useful are probabilistic forecasts of the outcomes of particular situations? Potentially, they c...
Intelligence analysis plays a vital role in policy decision-making. Key functions of intelligence an...
My dissertation lies at the intersection of computer science and the decision sciences. With psychol...
484 p., fig., 1 disquette soupleThe methodology used in technological forecasting is made crystal cl...
This paper describes an approach to connect decision analysis models with outputs of analytic method...
How do people make difficult decisions in situations involving substantial risk and uncertainty? In ...