Relationship between bleaching severity immediately after heat stress (Day 0 post-stress) and mortality on Day 7 and Month 1 post-stress.

Binomial representation of living (value = 0) and dead (value = 1) coral fragments 7 days (A) and 1 month (B) after heat stress versus bleaching severity on Day 0 post-stress, where circle sizes represent proportion of living vs. dead samples at each VBS category (mixed effects logistic regression, accounting for spatial variability, with pseudo R2 values provided). Note that identical statistics results from both logistic regressions are due to no corals dying between Day 7 and Month 1 timepoints. Circle colors correspond to bleaching severity immediately after heat stress: blue = low bleaching, yellow = moderate bleaching, and red = high bleaching. (TIF)