Association of Prehospital Oxygen Saturation to Inspired Oxygen Ratio with 1-, 2-, and 7-Day Mortality

Importance: The early identification of patients at high risk of clinical deterioration represents one of the greatest challenges for emergency medical services (EMS). Objective: To assess whether use of the ratio of prehospital oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry (Spo2) to fraction of inspired oxygen (Fio2) measured during initial contact by EMS with the patient (ie, the first Spo2to Fio2ratio) and 5 minutes before the patient's arrival at the hospital (ie, the second Spo2to Fio2ratio) can predict the risk of early in-hospital deterioration. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective, derivation-validation prognostic cohort study of 3606 adults with acute diseases referred to 5 tertiary care hospitals in Spain was conducted between October 26, 2018, and June 30, 2020. Eligible patients were recruited from among all telephone requests for EMS assistance for adults who were later evacuated with priority in advanced life support units to the referral hospitals during the study period. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was hospital mortality from any cause within the first, second, third, or seventh day after EMS transport to the hospital. The main measure was the Spo2to Fio2ratio. Results: A total of 3606 participants comprised 2 separate cohorts: the derivation cohort (3081 patients) and the validation cohort (525 patients). The median age was 69 years (interquartile range, 54-81 years), and 2122 patients (58.8%) were men. The overall mortality rate of the patients in the study cohort ranged from 3.6% for 1-day mortality (131 patients) to 7.1% for 7-day mortality (256 patients). The best model performance was for 2-day mortality with the second Spo2to Fio2ratio with an area under the curve of 0.890 (95% CI, 0.829-0.950; P