The recovery of North Atlantic right whales, Eubalaena glacialis, has been constrained by human-caused mortality

North Atlantic right whales (NARW), Eubalaena glacialis, were nearly exterminated by historical whaling. Their abundance slowly increased up until 2010, to a maximum of fewer than 500 whales, and since then they have been in decline. We assessed the extent to which the relatively slow increase demonstrated by NARW was intrinsic, and how much could be due to anthropogenic impacts. In order to do so, we first compared calf counts of three populations of Southern right whales (SRW), E. australis, with that of NARW, over the period 1992–2016. By this index, the annual rate of increase of NARW was approximately one-third of that of SRW. Next we constructed a population projection model for female NARW, using the highest annual survival estimates available from recent mark–resight analysis, and assuming a four-year calving interval. The model results indicated an intrinsic rate of increase of 4% per year, approximately twice that observed, and that adult female mortality is the main factor influencing this rate. Necropsy records demonstrate that anthropogenic mortality is the primary cause of known mortality of NARW. Anthropogenic mortality and morbidity has limited the recovery of NARW, and baseline conditions prior to their recent decline were already jeopardizing NARW recovery.The North Atlantic Right Whale Catalog is maintained with support from ongoing contracts from NOAA Fisheries. J.B. has been funded since at least 1993 by various Australian Government Environment Agencies, since 2015 the National Environment Marine Sciences Program, Marine Diversity Hub. K.F. thanks the Island Foundation for support during the collection of the South African aerial survey data between 2012 and 2015. Various institutions funded the South African aerial surveys over the data collection period, including Moby Dick Rum, Exclusive Trust, the Island Foundation, the National Research Foundation, members of the Offshore Petroleum Association of South Africa and the International Whaling Commission. The Brazilian Right Whale Catalog have been supported by several companies through funding to Projeto Baleia Franca, in particular PETROBRAS Brazilian Oil Company and Santos Brasil Company. V.R. thanks the many individuals and non-profit organizations who funded the 47 years of aerial surveys of the Argentine right whales, in particular Sarah Haney for her support in many of our lean years. V.R.’s research permits were issued annually by the Direccio´n de Fauna y Flora Silvestre and the Subsecretarı´a de Turismo y A ´ reas Protegidas of Chubut Province, Argentina.http://rsos.royalsocietypublishing.orgam2019Mammal Research InstituteZoology and Entomolog