Recent global and regional trends in burned area and their compensating environmental controls
- Forkel, Matthias
- Dorigo, Wouter
- Lasslop, Gitta
- Chuvieco, Emilio
- Hantson, Stijn
- Heil, Angelika
- Teubner, Irene
- Thonicke, Kirsten
- Harrison, Sandy P.
DOIAbstract
The apparent decline in the global incidence of fire between 1996 and 2015, as measured by satellite-observations of burned area, has been related to socioeconomic and land use changes. However, recent decades have also seen changes in climate and vegetation that influence fire and fire-enabled vegetation models do not reproduce the apparent decline. Given that the satellite-derived burned area datasets are still relatively short (<20 years), this raises questions both about the robustness of the apparent decline and what causes it. We use two global satellite-derived burned area datasets and a data-driven fire model to (1) assess the spatio-temporal robustness of the burned area trends and (2) to relate the trends to underlying changes in ...
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