Statistical and Computational Modeling of the Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ovaj rad modelira potencijski odnos novooboljelih i aktivnih bolesnika svjetske pandemije COVID-19 virusa te utvrđuje prosjek pogreške osnovnog SIR modela za promatrane 2 skupine. Za te potrebe rad prvo daje kratko objašnjenje epidemioloških pojmova koja se promatraju te statističkih alata koji se koriste.This paper models the exponential relationship between newly ill and actively ill from the COVID-19 virus pandemic and determines the mean error of the basic SIR model for the 2 viewed groups. To that end, the paper first briefly explains the epidemiological terms that are being observed and the statistical tools that are used