Radiomics Analysis of Brain [18F]FDG PET/CT to Predict Alzheimer’s Disease in Patients with Amyloid PET Positivity: A Preliminary Report on the Application of SPM Cortical Segmentation, Pyradiomics and Machine-Learning Analysis

Background: Early in-vivo diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is crucial for accurate management of patients, in particular, to select subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) that may evolve into AD, and to define other types of MCI non-AD patients. The application of artifi- cial intelligence to functional brain [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography(CT) aiming to increase diagnostic accuracy in the diagnosis of AD is still undetermined. In this field, we propose a radiomics analysis on advanced imaging segmen- tation method Statistical Parametric Mapping (SPM)-based completed with a Machine-Learning (ML) application to predict the diagnosis of AD, also by comparing the results with following Amyloid-PET and final clinical diagnosis. Methods: From July 2016 to September 2017, 43 patients underwent PET/CT scans with FDG and Florbetaben brain PET/CT and at least 24 months of clin- ical/instrumental follow-up. Patients were retrospectively evaluated by a multidisciplinary team (MDT = Neurologist, Psychologist, Radiologist, Nuclear Medicine Physician, Laboratory Clinic) at the G. Giglio Institute in Cefalù, Italy. Starting from the cerebral segmentations applied by SPM on the main cortical macro-areas of each patient, Pyradiomics was used for the feature extraction process; subsequently, an innovative descriptive-inferential mixed sequential approach and a machine learning algorithm (i.e., discriminant analysis) were used to obtain the best diagnostic performance in prediction of amyloid deposition and the final diagnosis of AD. Results: A total of 11 radiomics features significantly predictive of cortical beta-amyloid deposition (n = 6) and AD (n = 5) were found. Among them, two higher-order features (original_glcm_Idmn and original_glcm_Id), extracted from the limbic enthorinal cortical area (ROI-1) in the FDG-PET/CT images, predicted the positivity ofAmyloid-PET/CT scans with maximum values of sensitivity (SS), specificity (SP), precision (PR) and accuracy (AC) of 84.92%, 75.13%, 73.75%, and 79.56%, respectively. Conversely, for the prediction of the clinical-instrumental final diagnosis of AD, the best performance was obtained by two higher- order features (original_glcm_MCC and original_glcm_Maximum Probability) extracted from ROI-2 (frontal cortex) with a SS, SP, PR and AC of 75.16%, 80.50%, 77.68%, and 78.05%, respectively, and by one higher-order feature (original_glcm_Idmn) extracted from ROI-3 (medial Temporal cortex; SS = 80.88%, SP = 76.85%, PR = 75.63%, AC = 78.76%. Conclusions: The results obtained in this preliminary study support advanced segmentation of cortical areas typically involved in early AD on FDG PET/CT brain images, and radiomics analysis for the identification of specific high-order features to predict Amyloid deposition and final diagnosis of AD