Thunderstorm asthma: revealing a hidden at-risk population

Background: Epidemic thunderstorm asthma (ETSA) refers to large-scale acute bronchospasm events associated with thunderstorm. The most serious episode ever recorded occurred in Melbourne, Australia, in November 2016, where more than 3500 patients were treated in hospitals and 10 died. Previous work has been focused primarily on patient presentations to emergency departments. The prevalence of individuals with milder, non-emergent symptoms and who may be at risk of more serious episodes in the future has not previously been explored. Aim: To characterise the nature and extent of respiratory symptoms in healthcare workers during the Melbourne ETSA event. Methods: A survey was conducted among staff and volunteers across Eastern Health, distributed on the intranet homepage, by email and by word of mouth. Anonymous survey questions were constructed to assess prior and current diagnoses of relevance, symptoms, and demography. Results: There were 515 participants (80% female, n = 411) of approximately 9000 potential respondents (~6% response rate) who completed the survey; 132 (25.6%) had symptoms suggestive of asthma during the Melbourne ETSA event, the majority of whom did not seek professional medical help. Notably, of those with ETSA-like symptoms, only 58 (43.9%) had a history of asthma, while 97 (73.5%) had a history of allergic rhinitis. Specifically, a history of allergic rhinitis (OR 2.77, P < 0.001), a history of asthma (OR 1.67, P = 0.037) and being of self-identified Asian ethnicity (OR 3.24, P < 0.001) were all strong predictors of ETSA-like symptoms. Being predominantly indoors was not protective. Conclusions: Our study provides evidence of the presence of a large cohort of sufferers during the Melbourne ETSA event of 2016 that did not come to the attention of medical services, implying a potentially hidden and significant susceptible population. Further research should help clarify the true prevalence of vulnerability in the general population, with important public health implications