Add to ORKGWe introduce the Forecasting Argumentation Framework (FAF), a novel argumentation framework for forecasting informed by re- cent judgmental forecasting research. FAFs comprise update frame- works which empower (human or artificial) agents to argue over time with and about probability of scenarios, whilst flagging per- ceived irrationality in their behaviour with a view to improving their forecasting accuracy. FAFs include three argument types with future forecasts and aggregate the strength of these arguments to inform estimates of the likelihood of scenarios. We describe an implementation of FAFs for supporting forecasting agents
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is an expert system that uses judgment to develop and apply rules for c...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
We introduce Forecasting Argumentation Frameworks (FAFs), a novel argumentation-based methodology fo...
Probabilistic Argumentation supports a form of hybrid reasoning by integrating quantitative (probabi...
In this paper we analyze probabilistic argumentation frameworks (PAFs), defined as an extension of D...
All population projections are based in one form or another on expert judgement about likely future ...
Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is ...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is an expert system that uses judgment to develop and apply rules for c...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
We introduce Forecasting Argumentation Frameworks (FAFs), a novel argumentation-based methodology fo...
Probabilistic Argumentation supports a form of hybrid reasoning by integrating quantitative (probabi...
In this paper we analyze probabilistic argumentation frameworks (PAFs), defined as an extension of D...
All population projections are based in one form or another on expert judgement about likely future ...
Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is ...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...
Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is an expert system that uses judgment to develop and apply rules for c...
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that s...