On the Transient Behavior of Ehrenfest and Engset Processes

International audienceTwo classical stochastic processes are considered, the Ehrenfest process, introduced in 1907 in the kinetic theory of gases to describe the heat exchange between two bodies and the Engset process, one of the early (1918) stochastic models of communication networks. This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of the distributions of hitting times of these two processes when the number of particles/sources goes to infinity. Results concerning the hitting times of boundaries in particular are obtained. The paper relies on martingale methods, a key ingredient is an important family of simple non-negative martingales, an analogue, for the Ehrenfest process, of the exponential martingales used in the study of random walks or of Brownian motion