Coordinated Population Forecast for Linn County, its Urban Growth Boundaries (UGB), and Area Outside UGBs 2021 – 2071

How to Read this Report This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable on the Forecast Program website (https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts). • Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output. • Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071). Linn County’s seat is Albany, a 15–20-minute drive from Corvallis and 35–40-minute drive from Salem. The county’s economic base is mining, timber, and manufacturing. Single family residential (SFR) subdivision development predominates in smaller sub-areas that are within commuting distance to larger cities. It is possible that smaller sub-areas receive spillover demand from larger cities such as Corvallis, Albany, Eugene, and Salem because these areas are more affordable in comparison. Based on the general surveys, larger cities/towns within the county tend to cite expansion of their economic base. County-wide population growth varied over the past few decades but maintained an annual average growth rate of at least 0.7% since 2000