Evolution of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and clusters in school children from June 2020 to April 2021: prospective cohort study Ciao Corona

BACKGROUND Few studies have explored the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in schools in 2021, with the advent of variants of concern. We aimed to examine the evolution of the proportion of seropositive children at schools from June-July 2020 to March-April 2021. We also examined symptoms, under-detection of infections, potential preventive effect of face masks, and reasons for non-participation in the study. METHODS Children in lower (7–10 years), middle (8–13 years) and upper (12–17 years) school levels in randomly selected schools and classes in the canton of Zurich, Switzerland, were invited to participate in the prospective cohort study Ciao Corona. Three testing rounds were completed in June-July 2020, October-November 2020 and March-April 2021. From 5230 invited, 2974 children from 275 classes in in 55 schools participated in at least one testing round. We measured SARS-CoV-2 serology in venous blood, and parents filled in questionnaires on sociodemographic information and symptoms. RESULTS The proportion of children seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 increased from 1.5% (95% credible interval [CrI] 0.6–2.6%) by June-July 2020, to 6.6% (4.0–8.9%) by October-November, and to 16.4% (12.1–19.5%) by March-April 2021. By March-April 2021, children in upper school level (12.4%; 7.3–16.7%) were less likely to be seropositive than those in middle (19.5%; 14.2–24.4%) or lower school levels (16.0%; 11.0–20.4%). The ratio of PCR-diagnosed to all seropositive children changed from one to 21.7 (by June-July 2020) to one to 3.5 (by March-April 2021). Potential clusters of three or more newly seropositive children were detected in 24 of 119 (20%) classes, 17 from which could be expected by chance. Clustering was not higher than expected by chance in middle and upper school levels. Children in the upper school level, who were wearing face masks at school from November 2020, had a 5.1% (95% confidence interval 9.4% to 0.7%) lower than expected seroprevalence by March-April 2021 than those in middle school level, based on difference-in-differences analysis. Symptoms were reported by 37% of newly seropositive and 16% seronegative children. Fear of blood sampling (64%) was the most frequently reported reason for non-participation. CONCLUSIONS Although the proportion of seropositive children increased from 1.5% in June-July 2020 to 16.4% in March-April 2021, few infections were likely associated with potential spread within schools. In March-April 2021, significant clustering of seropositive children within classes was observed only in the lower school level