Defense Planning for National Security: Navigation Aids for the Mystery Tour

View the Executive SummaryThe challenge that is defense planning includes: educated futurology and the humanities as methodological approaches; futurists and scenarios, trend spotting and defense analysis; the impossibility of science in studying the future; the impossibility of verification by empirical testing of hypotheses; the value of the humanities which are politics, strategy, and history for defense planning; the use and misuse of analogy; learning from history; why and how strategic history works; and recommendations for the Army. What can be learned from history and what cannot are discussed in this analysis.https://press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/1506/thumbnail.jp