Türkiye'nin iç borcunun sürdürülebilirlik analizi.

In this thesis, sustainability of the Turkish domestic debt is analyzed within the “sustainability indicators” perspective. The fiscal targets of Maastricht Treaty (1992) are imposed on the Turkish fiscal policy and it is investigated whether these targets are the indicators for sustainability in the medium term. Uctum and Wickens’ (2000) methodology is followed in assessing the sustainability of the current fiscal policy and the efficiency of the Maastricht Treaty (1992) targets. Moreover, the vector auto regression (VAR) approach of Garcia and Rigobon (2004) is utilized in deriving the econometric model for the debt dynamics of Turkey. The results suggest that domestic debt of Turkey has been unsustainable within 1994-2008. Furthermore, the Maastricht Treaty (1992) fiscal targets are binding for Turkey and gaining more significance in the recent years.M.S. - Master of Scienc