We give a probabilistic analysis of inductive knowledge and belief and explore its predictions concerning knowledge about the future, about laws of nature, and about the values of inexactly measured quantities. The analysis combines a theory of knowledge and belief formulated in terms of relations of comparative normality with a probabilistic reduction of those relations. It predicts that only highly probable propositions are believed, and that many widely held principles of belief-revision fail
The talk will present epistemic probability models with probabilistic updates, and will dis-cuss an ...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
This paper presents new methods for probabilistic belief revi-sion and information fusion. By making...
In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabili...
1) Opinion comes in degrees—call them degrees of belief, or credences. 2) The degrees of belief of a...
Edited by Markus Knauff and Wolfgang SpohnInternational audienceThis chapter surveys recent approach...
Probabilism is committed to two theses: 1) Opinion comes in degrees-call them degrees of belief, or ...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
The value of knowledge can vary in that knowledge of important facts is more valuable than knowledge...
We investigate the discrete (finite) case of the Popper-Renyi theory of conditional probability, int...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
AbstractAn intelligent agent will often be uncertain about various properties of its environment, an...
PWhen we want to logically infer the course of things from the point of view of indeterminism, we al...
International audienceThe aim of this position paper is to outline a unified view of plausible reaso...
In this article, I introduce the term “cognitivism” as a name for the thesis that degrees of belief ...
The talk will present epistemic probability models with probabilistic updates, and will dis-cuss an ...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
This paper presents new methods for probabilistic belief revi-sion and information fusion. By making...
In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabili...
1) Opinion comes in degrees—call them degrees of belief, or credences. 2) The degrees of belief of a...
Edited by Markus Knauff and Wolfgang SpohnInternational audienceThis chapter surveys recent approach...
Probabilism is committed to two theses: 1) Opinion comes in degrees-call them degrees of belief, or ...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
The value of knowledge can vary in that knowledge of important facts is more valuable than knowledge...
We investigate the discrete (finite) case of the Popper-Renyi theory of conditional probability, int...
For reasoning about uncertain situations, we have probability theory, and we have logics of knowledg...
AbstractAn intelligent agent will often be uncertain about various properties of its environment, an...
PWhen we want to logically infer the course of things from the point of view of indeterminism, we al...
International audienceThe aim of this position paper is to outline a unified view of plausible reaso...
In this article, I introduce the term “cognitivism” as a name for the thesis that degrees of belief ...
The talk will present epistemic probability models with probabilistic updates, and will dis-cuss an ...
Frequentist: Probability is just a relative frequency. Propensity: Probability is a tendency towards...
This paper presents new methods for probabilistic belief revi-sion and information fusion. By making...