Religious Denominations in Vienna and Austria: Baseline Study for 2016 - Scenarios until 2046

The publication presents the results of the research project “Religious Denominations inVienna & Austria: Baseline study for 2016 – Scenarios until 2046” conducted by theVienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences. The aim of thisstudy project was twofold: Firstly, to estimate the religious composition of the populationof Austria and Vienna in 2016 taking into account the most recent migration movements;and secondly, to project the population of Austria and Vienna from 2016 to 2046 based onseveral scenarios related mostly to the three major forces affecting religious composition,migration (including asylum-seekers), differential fertility, and religious conversion.While the projections demonstrate some of the possible futures that Austria and its capitalcity could experience in the coming decades, and those are all quite dissimilar, they alsoshow that religious diversity is bound to increase, and there are no reasons to think thatany of the trends that have been in place already for several decades in the country willstop and that the country would move back to the situation of the early 1970s